Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-20 0.037984 0.041008 0.044181 0.047765 0.051706 0.055914 0.060755
2025-04-27 0.033521 0.037853 0.042653 0.048387 0.055078 0.062672 0.071990
2025-05-04 0.030059 0.035087 0.040888 0.048118 0.056950 0.067465 0.081047
2025-05-11 0.027539 0.033009 0.039526 0.047937 0.058606 0.071828 0.089675
2025-05-18 0.025493 0.031242 0.038281 0.047636 0.059895 0.075629 0.097704
2025-05-25 0.023887 0.029848 0.037323 0.047521 0.061281 0.079510 0.106014
2025-06-01 0.022281 0.028310 0.036031 0.046808 0.061726 0.082056 0.112575
2025-06-08 0.020802 0.026826 0.034684 0.045878 0.061738 0.083912 0.118197
2025-06-15 0.019667 0.025717 0.033748 0.045413 0.062311 0.086528 0.125062
2025-06-22 0.018668 0.024727 0.032900 0.044989 0.062870 0.089103 0.132004
2025-06-29 0.017621 0.023608 0.031801 0.044118 0.062680 0.090499 0.137149
2025-07-06 0.017103 0.023197 0.031666 0.044623 0.064553 0.095127 0.147841
2025-07-13 0.016452 0.022569 0.031193 0.044605 0.065637 0.098622 0.157027
2025-07-20 0.016015 0.022224 0.031109 0.045162 0.067641 0.103718 0.169407
2025-07-27 0.015388 0.021570 0.030529 0.044911 0.068322 0.106669 0.178258
2025-08-03 0.014831 0.020991 0.030027 0.044743 0.069110 0.109828 0.187745
2025-08-10 0.014285 0.020402 0.029481 0.044465 0.069682 0.112635 0.196805
2025-08-17 0.013819 0.019913 0.029060 0.044360 0.070526 0.115954 0.207130
2025-08-24 0.013253 0.019245 0.028329 0.043703 0.070369 0.117455 0.213997
2025-08-31 0.012676 0.018538 0.027506 0.042847 0.069805 0.118158 0.219295
2025-09-07 0.012230 0.018017 0.026956 0.042419 0.069967 0.120205 0.227536
2025-09-14 0.011818 0.017534 0.026445 0.042029 0.070166 0.122320 0.236108
2025-09-21 0.011342 0.016933 0.025716 0.041226 0.069559 0.122833 0.241239